published: 30.09.2013, 11:40 | updated: 30.09.2013 11:45:10
Prague - The two strongest parties of the former Czech centre-right government coalition have lost about one million voters since the previous general election in 2010 according to an analysis of the September public opinion polls that analyst Jan Herzmann´s firm gave CTK today.
According to the analysis, half a million people have gone over to the new ANO 2011 movement of billionaire Andrej Babis, and the Communists (KSCM) and the Christian Democrats (KDU-CSL), now outside the Chamber of Deputies, have also firmed.
The Party of Citizens´ Rights - the Zemanites (SPOZ) would enter the Chamber of Deputies if they had the same result as three years ago, when it gained some 250,000 votes, the analysis says.
According to it, a mere quarter of the total of votes would now be cast by the party´s stable voters.
The party´s most serious rivals would be the KDU-CSL and the Dawn of Direct Democracy of senator and businessman Tomio Okamura.
According to the analysis, the ODS would lose some 700,000 voters from 2010 and it would gain the votes of less than 400,000 people, mainly its stable followers.
Some of the ODS´s former voters would probably vote for TOP 09 and ANO 2011.
The conservative TOP 09 of Karel Schwarzenberg would probably lose 240,000 voters compared with 2010, mainly for the benefit of ANO 2011, and it would gain some 600,000 votes.
According to Herzmann, ANO would also draw support of the former government Public Affairs (VV, that eventually split and ended in opposition).
The Social Democrats would probably gain 1.2 million votes, which is about the same number as in 2010, when it won the elections, but did not find any partner to form a government coalition with and went into opposition.
The KSCM could gain 750,000 votes, which is 170,000 more than three years ago, according to the analysis.
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