published: 21.01.2013, 15:33 | updated: 21.01.2013 15:39:41
Prague - The Social Democrats (opposition CSSD) would clearly win the Czech general election if it were held now with 31 percent of the vote or two times more than the runner-up Civic Democrats (ODS) of Prime Minister Petr Necas who won 16 percent, according to a STEM agency´s poll released today.
The Communists (KSCM) received 14.5 percent and the conservative TOP 09 11.5 percent.
The Christian Democrats (KDU-CSL) would return to parliament as they managed to narrowly cross the 5-percent threshold. The Party of Citizens Rights of Milos Zeman (SPOZ) increased its popularity, but still it would be slightly under the threshold.
However, the margin of error is 2 percent for small parties, the pollsters said.
The poll confirmed that the smallest coalition party, the Liberal Democrats (LIDEM), and the now opposition Public Affairs (VV), from which LIDEM split last year, would have little chance of defending its parliamentary seats.
According to the STEM election model, the CSSD would win 84 seats in the 200-member lower house of parliament, the ODS 42 seats, the KSCM 36 seats, TOP 09 29 seats and the KDU-CSL nine seats.
The right-wing parties of the current government would not be able to win a majority. The Social Democrats would have a comfortable majority if they allied with the Communists.
The turnout in the possible elections would be 57 percent, 14 percent said they would not take part in the polls and the rest of the people have not made their mind yet.
The poll was conducted on 1119 persons on January 4-11.
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