Prague - The ANO movement, a junior partner in the Czech new centre-left government, would win the general election with 24.3 percent of the vote, if it were held in January, according to an election model the STEM agency released today.
Sledování výsledků voleb ve volebním stanovišti hnutí ANO 26. října v Praze. Předseda hnutí Andrej Babiš (uprostřed) oslavil s manželkou Monikou a krajskými lídry volební úspěch. ČTK Šimánek Vít
The senior governing Social Democrats (CSSD) would end second with 20.6 percent,
The result of both ANO and the CSSD increased in January compared with December 2013, by 1.9 and 0.7 percent, respectively.
The other parties that would enter the Chamber of Deputies in January are the Communists (KSCM) with 16.3 percent of the vote, TOP 09 (11 percent), the junior government Christian Democrats (KDU-CSL, 6.6 percent), the Civic Democrats (ODS, 6.2 percent) and the opposition Dawn of Direct Democracy (5.7 percent).
The Chamber would thus be entered by the same parties that occupy it now based on the October election result.
TOP 09´s model election result increased by 0.1 percent against December, while the KSCM´s result declined by 0.7 percent, the Dawn´s by 1.9, the KDU-CSL´s by 0.1 and the ODS´s by 0.7 percent.
Like in the October elections, the Greens would fail to enter parliament. They would be supported by 3.3 percent of voters, STEM said.
The pollsters said the January model shows that the situation is getting stable in connection with the recent birth of the new cabinet of the CSSD, ANO and the KDU-CSL and that no surprising turbulences are underway.
"The public has expressed conditional trust in the nascent cabinet and it waits to see how the cabinet will fare in practice. The ANO movement [of billionaire businessman and Finance Minister Andrej Babis] continues strengthening its position as the front-runner in party popularity polls," STEM said.
In the October election, ANO, a new movement, finished surprisingly strong second after the CSSD. It has six seats in the 17-seat cabinet headed by CSSD chairman Bohuslav Sobotka.
ANO also leads parties´ voter preferences which, unlike the election model, map the opinion of all voters, including undecided ones and those who would not take part in the elections.
In voter preferences, ANO was supported by 18.6 percent of Czechs, followed by the other parties like above, only with the Dawn of Direct Democracy finishing fifth after the KSCM and TOP 09.
If elections were held in January, the turnout would be 60 percent, the poll showed.
STEM election models compared with October election results (in percent):