Prague - Finance Minister Andrej Babis´s ANO movement would win the Czech general election, if held now, gaining 28.9 percent of the vote and comfortably beating the Social Democrats´ (CSSD) 20.5 percent, according to a fresh election model the STEM agency has released to CTK.
Předseda hnutí ANO Andrej Babiš a poslanec Martin Stropnický (vpravo) na briefingu hnutí ANO 2011, který se konal 11. listopadu v Brně v rámci zahájení výjezdů zástupců hnutí do krajů. ČTK Šálek Václav
ANO´s position has markedly strengthened since the February poll in which it and Prime Minister Bohuslav Sobotka´s CSSD gained 21.4 percent each.
In the March poll, the opposition Communists (KSCM) finished third with 13.5 percent of the vote, a 3.5-percentage-point decline against February.
The fourth TOP 09, an opposition conservative party, would gain 9 percent of the vote if elections were held now, followed by the Civic Democrats (ODS) with 7.3, the junior government Christian Democrats (KDU-CSL) with 6.4 and the Dawn of Direct Democracy with 5 percent of the vote.
STEM says ANO has succeeded in attracting new supporters since the October 2013 elections, while the number of those supporting the CSSD has remained unchanged.
According to the STEM election model, ANO would gain 72 seats in the 200-seat Chamber of Deputies, the CSSD 48 seats, the KSCM 29, TOP 09 19, the KDU-CSL 14, the ODS 12 and the Dawn six seats.
The present government coalition of the CSSD, ANO and the KDU-CSL would have 134 seats, compared with their present 111 seats (50, 47 and 14).
ANO and the CSSD could even form a majority coalition without the KDU-CSL´s participation.
The election turnout would be 58 percent now, compared with 59.5 percent in the October elections.
STEM conducted the poll on 1070 people between March 11-20.